Volatility Is Back to Normal, Says Natixis Investment Managers's Raby

2019-08-06 02:02:07  3 view(s)

Description

Jan.24 -- Jean Raby, chief executive officer at Natixis Investment Managers, discusses his outlook for markets in 2019, volatility, central bank policy, the biggest risk that is underpriced in the market, how he's positioning the business, the asset classes he likes and the European banking sector. He speaks at the World Economic Forum's annual meeting in Davos, Switzerland, on "Bloomberg Markets: European Open."

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Deception Analysis

Madoff Derived

Person averaged

Person ID 0
blinks 0
number of blinks per second 0.8303061754021795
EAR 0
LAR 0
lip pursing 32
cheek color (R, G, B) 167, 127, 127
Person ID 1
blinks 0
number of blinks per second None
EAR 0
LAR 0
lip pursing None
cheek color (R, G, B) 0, 0, 0
Person ID 2
blinks 0
number of blinks per second None
EAR 0.35495086382374946
LAR 0.18116837357128365
lip pursing None
cheek color (R, G, B) 147, 116, 113

1. Detected:

person id 0
-- Deception Analysis
times stamp 38.54 (Seconds)
period to detected 38.54 (Seconds)
blinks detected 32
number of blinks per second 0.8303061754021795
number of blushing occurred 0
number of pursing occurred 32
Predicted deception
Sentence jansen sides think the jar of each time the markets and obstacle and about the moon and back off the overall market for their far worse if i did i think is the better in the sense that when the when you asked me this question you you basic contrast the king of the year with which we saw at the end of the twenty eight feet in fact the meeting was pretty good year for the first half of the u. s. very slowly and that maybe it was a bit of indiscriminate buying what we saw in the second half of tweaking is a bit of indiscriminate shelling having that was compounded by three factors one you were very little buyers in the marketplace and in the year people and close the books secondly i think the rise of passive dollars

*** In process of collecting initial data of person id0

-- Age and Gender Analysis
Age of Speaker(in range) 26-30
Gender of Speaker Male
-- Crossed-Arm Detection

Person ID 0 without Crossed-Arm

2. Detected:

person id 0
-- Deception Analysis
times stamp 89.66 (Seconds)
period to detected 51.12 (Seconds)
blinks detected 38
number of blinks per second 0.7433489827856026
number of blushing occurred 0
number of pursing occurred 38
Predicted deception
Sentence does this monument to buy that any excess of eight strands both on the outside and on the downside having the third factor is a we have to recognize that the u. s. financial markets are really there believe the market the around the world and visit the giggle factor in the u. s. and at retail investors at the end of the year when the civil losses had a tendency to sail before receiving the capital gains on the mutual funds invested in so that creates a further pressure on the market that means he has been somewhat absorbed sitting in the year that they were back to fundamentals and oliver at the end of watch we had some volatility one of the large actually freaky acts out that he's back to normal in many aspects to end it right now there's lots of noise of course if you want to untie not shot bitch i did china you is the date john would expect we get resolved at least temporarily

*** In process of collecting initial data of person id0

-- Age and Gender Analysis
Age of Speaker(in range) 21-25
Gender of Speaker Male
-- Crossed-Arm Detection

Person ID 0 without Crossed-Arm

3. Detected:

person id 0
-- Deception Analysis
times stamp 210.01 (Seconds)
period to detected 158.89 (Seconds)
blinks detected 34
number of blinks per second 0.2139845175907861
number of blushing occurred 0
number of pursing occurred 34
Predicted deception
Sentence a combination of where we'll breaks it had it to us what happened when it's not on the part of the bird that that is a greater likelihood that the market attaches to defy the brits it will not happen and you can say national licensing that for a while not believe that doesn't mean that i do not act on decided treated me very well on the markets yes target i think you add a threat to say that daisy the vague about europe leadership binghamton into europe right now and of course you have other areas of the world that are seen that are seen to political uncertainties that makes a cocktail in his ability to read and when we get the government today right now it creates noise and pajama does it mean for settlement policy in play ninety action in chechnya son peter value this year either i when i'm very good at predicting the future which are afraid to lead the present likely to wonder what that what we read in the present is that we're probably answering me you're the first year in a while when u. s. interest rates are unlikely to state range now stable id he be he's likely not to do anything about monetary policy until twenty twenty so the environment from a monetary policy standpoint is likely to steal the deadly stable and denying critic be nominated stars and so that we back to fundamentals and frankly the big issues right now is that we all talk ourselves into a recession people like you off course try to predict as i said i'd try to get you sure right now the fundamentals the mess that although there is slower growth he doesn't mean no growth he doesn't mean recession and we may be back to normal and if so what we've learned to get the pool remain more like what we saw in the second half of two in the eighteenth because what we saw before was pulled the admiral and all is the biggest risk that is on depressive the markets they get through this on the price of the market that's a good question frankly

*** In process of collecting initial data of person id0

-- Age and Gender Analysis
Age of Speaker(in range) 26-30
Gender of Speaker Female
-- Crossed-Arm Detection

Person ID 0 without Crossed-Arm

4. Detected:

person id 0
-- Deception Analysis
times stamp 225.93 (Seconds)
period to detected 67.04 (Seconds)
blinks detected 3
number of blinks per second 0.04474940334128877
number of blushing occurred 0
number of pursing occurred 3
Predicted deception
Sentence reading the next financial crisis yes and it's a habit although always believing that the risk of the future risk is gonna come from the same sources as before i think there'd be a kiss

*** In process of collecting initial data of person id0

-- Age and Gender Analysis
Age of Speaker(in range) 26-30
Gender of Speaker Male
-- Crossed-Arm Detection

Person ID 0 without Crossed-Arm

5. Detected:

person id 0
-- Deception Analysis
times stamp 235.24 (Seconds)
period to detected 168.2 (Seconds)
blinks detected 42
number of blinks per second 0.24970273483947683
number of blushing occurred 0
number of pursing occurred 42
Predicted deception
Sentence is what we're talking about here at devil's but not more than we used to which is some kind of environmental

*** In process of collecting initial data of person id0

-- Age and Gender Analysis
Age of Speaker(in range) 26-30
Gender of Speaker Female
-- Crossed-Arm Detection

Person ID 0 without Crossed-Arm

6. Detected:

person id 0
-- Deception Analysis
times stamp 264.96 (Seconds)
period to detected 96.76 (Seconds)
blinks detected 6
number of blinks per second 0.062009094667217865
number of blushing occurred 0
number of pursing occurred 6
Predicted deception
Sentence abnormal to your wrists on the colony got with stevie ray pentagon sequences that to me is the the risk it all there and we're increasingly being conscious of that are we too late i hope not how we paying attention to it i came to you the conversations i have here in davos hot sternly point that point out that we are paying attention to this and what's happening in terms of

*** In process of collecting initial data of person id0

-- Age and Gender Analysis
Age of Speaker(in range) 26-30
Gender of Speaker Male
-- Crossed-Arm Detection

Person ID 0 without Crossed-Arm

7. Detected:

person id 2
-- Deception Analysis
times stamp 282.22 (Seconds)
period to detected 0 (Seconds)
blinks detected 1
number of blinks per second 1
number of blushing occurred 0
number of pursing occurred 0
Predicted truth
Sentence two bodies in the wrong the world is something that's not lost on people here and talk to him and about how your positioning atlanta ga giant see how the targets of a hundred billion years of net inflows of the three years the thinking that well you know our target is based on market place you know we have a humvee utility industry yeah

*** In process of collecting initial data of person id2

-- Age and Gender Analysis
Age of Speaker(in range) 26-30
Gender of Speaker Male
-- Crossed-Arm Detection

Person ID 2 without Crossed-Arm

8. Detected:

person id 0
-- Deception Analysis
times stamp 424.79 (Seconds)
period to detected 328.03 (Seconds)
blinks detected 165
number of blinks per second 0.5030027741365118
number of blushing occurred 0
number of pursing occurred 165
Predicted deception
Sentence our stock moves with the market or for all lose our part influenced by emotions they knew where the market is going for somebody knows in in that in expenses are tied to that as well i would i would like to believe that they meeting a market where that more discrimination is important and left more fundamentalist is important are acting style of management wheel drive that definitely demonstrates is that you had been a very big proponent of the past always gone so sometimes is less in the noise but i would think it came off and an environmental group in turning into these here are style of managing to be would be very relevant for art institution led me to find that in their favor asset class when you look at the volatility be in fact what does it mean is it always is your favorite s. address at at that he requests are ahead of time and a mature and as they well we have a way out we at what we like liquid alternatives of course because they give the different perspective on markets and it's diversification to people that would permit free golf in many respects that when i think about that areas which appear from the man didn't do that either been a long european the and banking sector even banking sector as king of the fact of course it's it's suffering from the fact that we have negative interest rates at ago dad a sizable net interest margin fact that banking sector gets played out for many different things other than some of that investors are worried about the european banking sector lot of enlargement consolidation a lot of them are looking at how and that's insane when one of the ancients anne garrels is has said that had been well when it comes to the european market would say it's not the case and they know no one knew what you when you when you well when you think about the urban banking sector and gone to the sure i'll venture proposition which he added to be that sometimes provocative guilty if if markets of two short memory may be regulators of two on the memory and everybody's thinking back again at two thousand eight and maybe as i said the b. b. the fans will unfold in a different way and even to designate and regulations are not always be colored by what happened in years ago if it's important to prevent that from happening again but what's been happening with the map in addition to is going to give god that can dissect the withstand any financial crisis in the light and shadow banking eating in china you have that mechanism to actually do with it i didn't do the regulators arriving does go through suit you're stressed s.

*** In process of collecting initial data of person id0

-- Age and Gender Analysis
Age of Speaker(in range) 31-35
Gender of Speaker Male
-- Crossed-Arm Detection

Person ID 0 without Crossed-Arm

9. Detected:

person id 1
-- Deception Analysis
times stamp 445.24 (Seconds)
period to detected 276.84 (Seconds)
blinks detected 8
number of blinks per second 0.028897558156335785
number of blushing occurred 0
number of pursing occurred 8
Predicted deception
Sentence

*** In process of collecting initial data of person id1

-- Age and Gender Analysis
Age of Speaker(in range) 36-40
Gender of Speaker Male
-- Crossed-Arm Detection

Person ID 1 without Crossed-Arm